ES Group AB (OSTO:ESGR B) Beneish M-Score: -2.68 (As of Aug. 14, 2026)

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OSTO:ESGR B ES Group AB OSTO:ESGR B
66 GF Score
Price kr15.45
GF Value kr18.81
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is ES Group AB Beneish M-Score?

ES Group AB OSTO:ESGR B +1.31% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Aug. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates OSTO:ESGR B with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of kr18.81 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,705 Construction companies, ES Group AB ranks better than 65.34% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ES Group AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:ESGR B' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.68   Med: -0.59   Max: 1.39
Current: -2.68

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ES Group AB was 1.39. The lowest was -2.68. And the median was -0.59.


ES Group AB Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for ES Group AB's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ES Group AB Beneish M-Score Chart

ES Group AB Annual Data
Trend Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -1.65 0.17 -0.08 -0.05 -2.68

ES Group AB Quarterly Data
Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.68 0.00

OSTO:ESGR B vs TT, JCI, CARR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, ES Group AB's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ES Group AB Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, ES Group AB's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ES Group AB's Beneish M-Score falls into.


OSTO:ESGR B
66GF Score
ES Group AB OSTO:ESGR B
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

ES Group AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ES Group AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.54+0.528 * 0.9517+0.404 * 1.7808+0.892 * 1.0903+0.115 * 0.8546
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.034236-0.327 * 0.9123
=-2.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Apr24) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr40.5 Mil.
Revenue was kr186.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr69.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr148.8 Mil.
Total Assets was kr223.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr3.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr7.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr61.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr2.4 Mil.
Net Income was kr-22.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was kr-15.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr68.8 Mil.
Revenue was kr170.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr60.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr232.8 Mil.
Total Assets was kr288.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr4.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr5.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr90.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr0.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(40.483 / 185.983) / (68.761 / 170.575)
=0.21767 / 0.403113
=0.54

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(60.223 / 170.575) / (68.997 / 185.983)
=0.353059 / 0.370986
=0.9517

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (148.791 + 3.729) / 223.039) / (1 - (232.829 + 4.208) / 288.206)
=0.316173 / 0.177543
=1.7808

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=185.983 / 170.575
=1.0903

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5.78 / (5.78 + 4.208)) / (7.822 / (7.822 + 3.729))
=0.578694 / 0.677171
=0.8546

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 185.983) / (0 / 170.575)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2.4 + 61.672) / 223.039) / ((0.3 + 90.449) / 288.206)
=0.287268 / 0.314875
=0.9123

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-22.845 - 0 - -15.209) / 223.039
=-0.034236

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ES Group AB has a M-score of -2.68 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 mean?
ES Group AB (OSTO:ESGR B) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 as of Aug. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on ES Group AB and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, ES Group AB ranks #591 out of 1705 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 34.7%.
Is ES Group AB's Beneish M-Score too high?
ES Group AB's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Based on the distribution chart, ES Group AB ranks #591 out of 1705 companies in the Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, ES Group AB has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ES Group AB's Beneish M-Score compare to TT and JCI?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, ES Group AB ranks #591 out of 1705 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts ES Group AB in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on ES Group AB and its competitors. ES Group AB's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ES Group AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ES Group AB (OSTO:ESGR B) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr18.81, compared to a current price of kr15.45 — trading 17.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. ES Group AB's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ES Group AB (OSTO:ESGR B), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Aug. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is ES Group AB (OSTO:ESGR B) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ES Group AB stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr15.45 is trading 17.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr18.81. GuruFocus considers ES Group AB to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for OSTO:ESGR B:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.68
  • GF Value™: kr18.81 vs. price of kr15.45 (17.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OSTO:ESGR B stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ES Group AB Business Description

Address Metallgatan 2-4, Alingsas, SWE, SE-441 32
ES Energy Save Holding AB is engaged in the development, marketing, and sale of energy-efficient heating solutions. The company's product portfolio mainly includes heat pumps and related systems, along with accessories and complementary energy solutions.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OSTO:ESGR B

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr15.45
Price
kr18.81
GF Value